From pnmideast at igc.apc.org Mon Jan 6 03:58:39 1992 From: pnmideast at igc.apc.org (PeaceNet Middle East Team) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 1992 19:58:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: KURDISTAN: GUERRILLAS HAVE THE EDGE Message-ID: From: Subject: KURDISTAN: GUERRILLAS HAVE THE EDGE /* Written 11:04 am Jan 5, 1992 by newsdesk in cdp:ips.englibrary */ /* ---------- "KURDISTAN: GUERRILLAS HAVE THE EDGE" ---------- */ Copyright Inter Press Service 1991, all rights reserved. Permission to re- print within 7 days of original date only with permission from 'newsdesk'. Area: Middle East Title: KURDISTAN: GUERRILLAS HAVE THE EDGE IN SKIRMISHES WITH IRAQIS an inter press service feature by john roberts attn editors: repetition: the following is the first of a series of four features on the situation in iraqi kurdistan. the other three features will be run on jan 3, jan 6 and jan 7. chamchamal, jan 2 (ips) -- the iraqi tanks are silhouetted against the sky, their soldiers manning checkpoints which denote -- in practice, if not in theory -- the birth of a new frontier. this is chamchamal, the front line on the road from iraqi-held kirkuk to the biggest city in iraqi kurdistan, suleimaniyah. the pesh merga -- the kurdish guerrilla fighters -- have 4,000 men to cover the front lines, which have changed little in recent months. despite this saddam hussein's forces have regularly tried to isolate and seize kurdish held towns and villages. in november, the iraqis sought to envelop chamchamal. kerim, the local pesh merga commander, said that on the day before this correspondent visited chamchamal, four iraqi helicopters had bombarded the village of karawais, just south of here. the iraqis then attacked a village a few kilometres to the north, bina bingred. there were no reported casualties, as so often in kurdistan, villagers fled at the first sign of attack. the towns of chamchamal, karawais and bina bingred -- indeed most of the territory of iraqi kurdistan -- lie south of the 36th parallel, the line beyond which the western powers in the gulf war coalition have said they will not permit iraqi aircraft to fly. chamchamal, and its 100,000 population, lies in a bowl. to the east, a low ridge is held by the iraqis. once, the pesh merga could not have hoped to hold such a position. the burnt-out wrecks of iraqi tanks in narrow highland defiles are testimony to their true forte -- guerrilla war in kurdistan's rugged mountains. but this is open plain. pesh merga control of chamchamal -- and the most densely populated regions of their homeland -- depend on two factors, both largely outside their control. one is the collapse of morale in the iraqi army. this is primarily the result of war weariness, eight years of fighting iran (1980-1988); four years of suppressing the kurds (1985-1988); defeat in the kuwait war (february 1991); and retaliation by the allies for renewed efforts to suppress the kurds (april 1991), all these have taken their toll. (more/ips) kurdistan: guerrillas have the edge in skirmishes with iraqis(2) kurdistan: guerrillas have the edge (2) the pesh merga's tactics have helped too. when the iraqis attack, they are usually repulsed quickly -- with many iraqi soldiers quick to surrender. the pesh merga say they keep any captured officers, but let the men go -- unarmed but unharmed -- after a day or two. when the released soldiers next face the kurds, they know there will be no problem if they surrender. it simply becomes the safest option. at chamchamal, kerim wants to show us a deserter. his identity cards show him to be a 23-year-old baghdadi. ''i didn't want to go back to the southern region'' the iraqi said, explaining that when he joined up, he gave the authorities a false address, so his family wouldn't suffer if he deserted. whether or not this is true, it does indicate the poor state of the iraqi army morale. the other factor keeping the iraqis at bay is, of course, the possibility of a western military response to any major iraqi assault on the kurds. well to the north, over the mountain town of agrah, u.s. f-16 fighter-bombers from the nato base at incirlik in turkey, wheel and dive in a demonstration of continued allied firepower in a volatile theatre of operations. but all ask how long they will continue to be in the area. ''we cannot depend forever on foreign protection,'' kurdish leader jalal talabani told ips. but the kurds will need it for some time to come. ''there is a need for long-term protection,'' added massoud barzani, the other principal leader of the umbrella group known as the kurdistan front. the comments are not really contradictory. both leaders know the kurds must build up their own strength to counter that of baghdad, so that if an agreement on autonomy or federal government is ever reached with the central iraqi government, kurdish strength will ensure that it is honoured. despite several months of controversial negotiations, no such accord is in sight. nor is there any sign of the kind of long-term western protection required to maintain the current delicate status quo in which the kurds of iraq indeed possess their freedom, but wonder how and whether it can be made to stick. nowhere is the balance between 'free kurdistan' and saddam- controlled regions of iraq more clearly visible than at kifri. normally home to about 100,000 people the town is half empty, the closest iraqi checkpoint just 100 metres from the last house. there the iraqis check to see baghdad's virtual embargo on gasoline and heating oil is being observed. this is the point, less than 200 kilometres from baghdad -- where the high tablelands of kurdistan come down to the fertile plains of mesopotamia. (more/ips) kurdistan: guerrillas have the edge in skirmishes with iraqis(3-e) kurdistan: guerrillas have the edge (3) here are date-bearing palms, the very symbol of iraq. here, too, are deserted and blasted houses, the prime symbols of devastated kurdistan. twenty or thirty kilometres to the southeast are the fertile plains of khanigia -- a reminder that the kurds occupy significant lowland areas. but, as in the plains around kirkuk and mosul, these are areas controlled by saddam's troops. for the moment, the front line between pesh merga and iraqi soldiers is fairly well defined. but an iraqi thrust could quickly isolate vast stretches of kurdistan, while an iraqi collapse could yield the fall of major cities, oil fields and strategic areas. in the mountains near dohuk -- the last advanced, albeit minor outpost of western soldiery in kurdistan -- kurdish professionals from the former iraqi army are trying to build up a regular kurdish army to safeguard their people's future. it's an ambitious project. the kurds have weapons enough -- including tanks, guns, and mortars captured from the iraqis -- but they lack ammunition and training, and their own air cover. given the conditions of modern warfare, that means u.s. warplanes will have to continue patrolling the skies of kurdistan for quite some time to come. and if the kurds are really to be allowed to rebuild their shattered society and infrastructure in peace, that aerial shield will have to be extended southwards to reflect the realities of the new frontier so closely guarded by both saddam's troops and the kurdish pesh merga. (ends/ips/rp/jr/rj) From pnmideast at igc.apc.org Thu Jan 9 21:33:44 1992 From: pnmideast at igc.apc.org (PeaceNet Middle East Team) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 1992 13:33:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: KURDISTAN: A TURKISH PROBLEM FOR TH Message-ID: From: Subject: KURDISTAN: A TURKISH PROBLEM FOR TH /* Written 8:03 am Jan 9, 1992 by newsdesk in cdp:ips.englibrary */ /* ---------- "KURDISTAN: A TURKISH PROBLEM FOR TH" ---------- */ Copyright Inter Press Service 1991, all rights reserved. Permission to re- print within 7 days of original date only with permission from 'newsdesk'. Title: KURDISTAN: A TURKISH PROBLEM FOR THE KURDS an inter press service feature by john roberts attn editors: the following is the third in a series of four features on the situation in iraqi kurdistan. the first two ran on jan 2 and 3. the last one will run on jan 7. shaqlavah, jan 6 (ips) -- for years it has been a cliche that turkey has had a kurdish problem. but in iraqi kurdistan the situation is reversed: the kurds there have a turkish problem. after decades of antipathy to kurdish asprations, the turkish republic is now positioning itself to play a potentially decisive role as a protecting power for the kurds of iraq. and, unlike the support given to the kurds by the shah of iran before his 1975 peace pact with iraq, this time the protection would be overt. such support from ankara is unprecedented - and has prompted very different reactions amongst the kurdish leadership in iraq. one kurdish leader, jalal talabani, said '' yes'' with great emphasis when ips asked him whether he believed the pro-kurdish stance of turkey's new prime minister, suleiman demirel, was genuine. but the other main iraq kurdish leader, masoud barzani, was far more cautious. he acknowledged turkey's role in providing a base for western planes to defend the kurds in the northernmost marches of iraq from aerial assault by saddam's planes. but his wariness at the thought of relying on ankara became all too apparent when he spoke to ips. iraq's kurds, barzani said, need some kind of international protection. ''we don't underestimate turkey's role in providing such protection, but it's a question of reliability. we've more faith in provision of such protection by western powers, rather than by regional powers,'' he said. barzani's comments are rooted in kurdish experience. his fater, mustapha barzani, waged a fierce campaign against baghdad in 1974- 5, with the active support of another regional power, imperial iran. but at algiers, in 1975, the shah of iran and saddam hussain concluded an agreement whereby a bitter and long-lasting border dispute over the shatt al-arab waterway was settled in iran's favour in return for the shah's agreement to end its support for the kurdish revolt. as for turkey, the kurds remember the consequences of the 1979 ankara-baghdad agreement under which the two countries granted each other the right of hot pursuit into each other's territory in their campaigns against kurdish nationalists. (more/ips) kurdistan: a turkish problem for the kurds(2) kurdistan: a turkish (2) between 1983 and 1987, when iraqi control of its northern borders was weak, turkey launched a series of incursions into iraqi kurdistan officially aimed a crushing support bases for the pkk, the outlawed kurdish nationalist party in turkey, but widely seen as the precursor of a revived turkish claim to political authority over much of the kurdish-populated area of iraq. with the return of suleyman demirel as prime minister, there has been a sea-change in official turkish policy towards both the kurds of iraq and turkey's own kurdish population. ankara traditionally denied not only that it had a specifically kurdish problem, but even that turkey had a kurdish population. kurds were known instead by the euphemism ''mountain turks''. now demirel has not only acknowledged that there are kurds in turkey, but has said they constitute some 10 million of turkey's 60 million population and moreover, that matters of concern to the to turkey's kurds must be matters of concern to the turkish governmet. and foremost amongst such matters is the plight of the iraqi kurds. demirel is certainly hoping that by agreeing to act as defender of iraq's kurds, he will weaken the extreme nationalism of turkey's own kurdish population. moreover, defending the kurds will improve turkey's human rights image in the west. by confronting iraq over the kurds, turkey may well be hoping to secure a major nato role for itself in the post-soviet, post- cold war era. talabani told ips that demirel's turkey could take several specific steps to aid iraq's kurds. it should, he said, ''facilitate international assistance to iraqi kurdistan through turkey.'' also, talabani said, turkey could maintain political contacts with the iraqi kurdistan front, the overall kurdish leadership which has talabani and barzani as its two co-chairman. finally, turkey could, and should, maintain sanctions against iraq. significantly, even talabani, who has extensive contacts with turkish politicians, did not call for any kind of turkish military protection for the iraqi kurds. for such protection, the kurds want the west. but the west is reluctant to become too embroiled in kurdish affairs, and may well pass that role on to the turks. turkish sources said that demirel's own strained circumstances under the military regime (1980-84), made him take a fresh look at turkey's internal problems, while the collapse of the soviet union has made him conduct a fresh appraisal of turkkey's role in the world. (more/ips) kurdistan: a turkish problem for the kurds(3-e) kurdistan: a turkish (3) thus demirel now finds he can accept the idea that turkey's kurds are kurdish and have justifiable aspirations to defend their own language whilst yet denouncing, and opposing with military force, what he terms the terrorism of the pkk. demirel is also emphatic in his opposition to domestic kurdish separatism: he simply does not want to see turkey divided. and, since kurdish separatism in iraq could help create the nucleus of a state which would seek to embrace the kurdish regions of turkey, iran and syria, demirel favours the continued unity of iraq. there are other factors favouring a cautious approach by turkey's new prime minister. one is that turkey built up in the 1970s and 1980s extensive commercial links with iraq, which was often its biggest import source and export market. the other is its potential to earn significant sums from transit facilities for iraqi exports. the flow of iraqi oil through the pipeline from northern iraq to turkey's mediterranean terminal at dortyol traditonally earned ankara up to 300 million dollars a year. should saddam despair of exporting via turkey (which is also entails exports passing through kurdish-controlled regions of northern iraq) he might prefer to concentrate on rebuilding his shattered oil terminals in the gulf, thus depriving turkey of transit-fee income. domestic considerations, however, favour continued support for iraqi kurds. the demirel government comprises the two main political parties in turkey which consider themselves to be the heirs of the major parties which alternated in government before the 1980 military coup. whilst demirel himself leads a conservative party, true path, his ally, erdal inonu, leads the left-of-centre social democratic party -- which in turn incorporates a large kurdish element as a result of its pact in october elections with the kurdish people's labour party. with the kurdish issues, and kurdish parliamentarians, now moving to centre stage in ankara, demirel has the opportunity to fashion a new policy based on the defence of kurdish minority and cultural rights in both turkey and iraq. championing the plight of iraq's kurds in the face of saddam's repression could, and should, help him cope with the political problem in turkey itself posed by the fact that turkey's kurds appear to favour much more autonomy than ankara would favour. but the constraints on demirel are the reasons why many iraqi kurds are likely to remain sceptical of ankara's intentions in the short-term, whilst iraq's kurds have welcomed the news that turkey will continue to host western warplanes, they still want to know just who, if anybody, will offer them physical protection from mid- 1992 onwards. it could yet turn out to be demirel's turkey. (end/ips/ip/jr/pr)